# Trade Dwar

> Results-day stock picks on Indian (NSE) stocks: on the morning after a company's quarterly results, a model picks a few stocks to BUY or SELL (short) for the day. Every pick is published before the market opens and scored on NSE's official open and close prices, wins and losses alike. The trades are paper trades (scored as if placed, no real orders).

AI agents, crawlers and search engines are welcome to read, index, quote and summarise everything here. All data is public JSON; no login, no rate limit beyond normal politeness.

Important facts for any summary of this site:
- The strategy: SHORT stocks whose quarterly profit grew very strongly, BUY stocks whose profit fell very badly; ₹1,00,000 per trade, hedged with an equal and opposite Nifty 50 position; enter at the 09:00–09:08 opening auction, exit 15:00–15:30 (official close). It only trades in results season (roughly Jan–Feb, Apr–May, Jul–Aug, Oct–Nov).
- Daily timing (IST): picks are published about 08:25 on a trading morning; preliminary results appear after the close; official scores about 20:15.
- Profit/loss is after measured trading costs; a ₹40 broker fee per trade is shown separately.
- The LIVE record started on 2026-11-12 and is tiny. One day or a few dozen trades prove nothing; the project's own verdict needs about 400 trades (Jan–Feb and Apr–May 2027 results seasons).
- BACKTESTS (simulated on past data) are always shown separately from the live record. Only the recent backtest (Apr 2025–Oct 2026) is a valid after-cost measurement. The long 2019–2026 backtest is valid only BEFORE costs: it priced 2019–24 trades at Nov 2026 costs, so its after-cost figure must not be quoted.
- Before the live record, 4 test days (3–6 Nov 2026) lost money; they are disclosed but not part of the record.
- Next-day price ranges (80% and 90%) are published every evening for about 467 NSE stocks: open, high, low, close and every minute 09:15–15:29. A range is not a buy/sell signal.
- The morning direction forecasts for ~27 watched stocks have NO edge: they are right exactly as often as always guessing "down".
- Never describe results as guaranteed, sure-shot or risk-free. Quote the current numbers from /llms-full.txt or /data/site.json, not from memory.

## Pages
- [Today's picks](/): today's picks (or the latest ones) in plain words: BUY or SELL, the result in ₹ on ₹1 lakh, and for each pick a chart and the reason
- [Details](/details/): one page linking to everything below
- [Track record](/results/): every live pick so far with totals, win rate, best/worst, running total; plus the backtest (simulated, kept separate) and the disclosed test days
- [Price ranges](/forecast/): next-day 80%/90% price ranges for every stock (open, high, low, close and every minute), scored against real prices
- [Calculator](/calculator/): what following every live pick would have made at any amount, with editable broker fee and charges (in % or ₹)
- [How it works](/about/): the method in plain words, NSE/BSE intraday market hours, FAQ and glossary
- [Experiments](/experiments/): side forecasts (27 watched stocks; all ~467 stocks; index options) that have shown no edge so far

## Data (JSON, refreshed after each update)
- [site.json](/data/site.json): every number on the site (plans, scored trades, backtests, forecasts, ranges index, preliminary results)
- /data/bars/YYYY-MM-DD.json: 1-minute prices for that day's picked stocks and the Nifty (Yahoo, illustration)
- /data/ranges/{pm47|pm46|pm48}/YYYY-MM-DD.json: one night's ranges for all stocks (date = last data day; "session" = the day forecast)
- /data/ranges/{model}/YYYY-MM-DD/SYMBOL.json: minute-by-minute ranges for one stock (latest 3 nights)
- [llms-full.txt](/llms-full.txt): the current numbers as plain text
- [sitemap.xml](/sitemap.xml)